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Ethiopias Legal Cigarette Market Collapses 67%, Illicit Trade Surges After Tax Hikes : Study EBR_News Mar 12, 2026 Ethiopias legal cigarette market has contracted by an estimated 67 percent between 2019 and 2025, while illicit volumes more than doubled following aggressive excise tax increases, according to a new study commissioned by the National Tobacco Enterprise (NTE) and conducted by Oxford Economics Africa

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Archived from the original on 15 February 2026

This inverse association was concentrated among former smokers who had switched to vaping, not among dual users, and estimates for never-smoker vapers were imprecise because that subgroup was small